This is excellent analysis; thought-provoking.

Expand full comment

Matthew: I'm Oregon's former Secretary of State (Phil Keisling), and this is utterly terrific analysis and presentation. Thank you!!

But I have one question: Have you also broken turnout rates out by AGE as well? (E.g, 18-34, 35-49; 50-64; 65+).

Florida's data, like that from my home state of Oregon, should also exist to presumably do this by age AND party AND geography, too. (And unlike Oregon, you could also do a "4-way" analysis by including voters' presumptive race/ethnicity, adding even more insight into turnout patterns!).

I'd love to see that if you have it, or intend to publish. In the meantime, here's the Oregon data as published by the SoS here in early December.


Expand full comment