This post has a lot packed into it; I focused on the last handful of years. Turnout does favor the MAGA party, especially with the current registration disparity.
Some aspects for consideration:
1) Is there any solid research on the effect of DeSantis stifling former felon voting? Any former felons get back the suffrage since DeSantis got re-elected?
2) What will the effect in 2026 be of DeSantis' efforts to minimize turnout by public harassment and detention, especially of Blacks, for alleged voter fraud? (The dramatic decline of D voting in 2022 appears to me to be one effect.)
3) Cord Byrd is a repeat of 2000 and Katherine Harris as Sec. of State; his purges in conjunction with the new voting rules has had an enormous effect on the party registration disparity. Is he still at it as the Nov. election approaches -- or will the US Supreme Court taboo on purges too close to the election hold up?
4) Trump's voting "rights" proposal looks bottled up in the Congress, especially as we get nearer to Nov. Luckily, the Florida bill voting that models Trump's bill will mostly not take effect until 2027. But some details of the Florida measure will take effect for the upcoming election. What should we look for? (In the past, it was simple to change parties for a primary election, but now that seems more complicated due to ID requirements, which I believe go into effect now.)
I believe Donalds can be beaten for the reasons you outline. But, the amount of campaign money he has received along with the Trump imprimatur gives him a lot of traction. Too bad the state MAGAs won't okay a debate for the primary. (I'm guessing Trump is opposed to a debate.)
With any luck, perhaps Republicans could be dumb enough to nominate James Fishback instead of Byron Donalds, thereby making a Dem flip the likely outcome.
As a lifelong Floridian, the way Desantis encouraged the more extremely ideological Republicans to move here causes real grief for me. Grief for the Florida of my youth where I grew up in diverse schools and got a quality education, where people who moved here from other places didn't feel entitled to our state and feel like they could tell all of us to leave because we don't think like them. Our lives have been invested here through hurricanes and nationwide ridicule and fights to preserve the land and nature and these people just invade (like they accuse immigrants of doing 🙄) from places where they've benefitted from stronger labor protections and state supports then come here and want to keep every ever-loving dollar they have and fuck the people in need.... Sorry, little bit of a rant there.
This post has a lot packed into it; I focused on the last handful of years. Turnout does favor the MAGA party, especially with the current registration disparity.
Some aspects for consideration:
1) Is there any solid research on the effect of DeSantis stifling former felon voting? Any former felons get back the suffrage since DeSantis got re-elected?
2) What will the effect in 2026 be of DeSantis' efforts to minimize turnout by public harassment and detention, especially of Blacks, for alleged voter fraud? (The dramatic decline of D voting in 2022 appears to me to be one effect.)
3) Cord Byrd is a repeat of 2000 and Katherine Harris as Sec. of State; his purges in conjunction with the new voting rules has had an enormous effect on the party registration disparity. Is he still at it as the Nov. election approaches -- or will the US Supreme Court taboo on purges too close to the election hold up?
4) Trump's voting "rights" proposal looks bottled up in the Congress, especially as we get nearer to Nov. Luckily, the Florida bill voting that models Trump's bill will mostly not take effect until 2027. But some details of the Florida measure will take effect for the upcoming election. What should we look for? (In the past, it was simple to change parties for a primary election, but now that seems more complicated due to ID requirements, which I believe go into effect now.)
I believe Donalds can be beaten for the reasons you outline. But, the amount of campaign money he has received along with the Trump imprimatur gives him a lot of traction. Too bad the state MAGAs won't okay a debate for the primary. (I'm guessing Trump is opposed to a debate.)
Thanks!
With any luck, perhaps Republicans could be dumb enough to nominate James Fishback instead of Byron Donalds, thereby making a Dem flip the likely outcome.
As a lifelong Floridian, the way Desantis encouraged the more extremely ideological Republicans to move here causes real grief for me. Grief for the Florida of my youth where I grew up in diverse schools and got a quality education, where people who moved here from other places didn't feel entitled to our state and feel like they could tell all of us to leave because we don't think like them. Our lives have been invested here through hurricanes and nationwide ridicule and fights to preserve the land and nature and these people just invade (like they accuse immigrants of doing 🙄) from places where they've benefitted from stronger labor protections and state supports then come here and want to keep every ever-loving dollar they have and fuck the people in need.... Sorry, little bit of a rant there.